Nishida Prize

Takeshi Doi

Commendation

Study on seasonal prediction of extreme climates originating from tropical oceans and its social application

A list of five major papers

  • Doi, T., S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2019: ‘Merits of a 108-member ensemble system inENSO and IOD predictions’ J. Climate, 32, 957-972.
  • Doi, T., S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2020: ‘Predictability of the super IOD event in 2019 and itslink with El Nin Modoki’ Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2019GL086713.
  • Doi, T., S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2020: ‘Wintertime Impacts of the 2019 Super IOD on EastAsia’ Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e2020GL089456.
  • Doi, T., S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2022: ‘On the predictability of the extreme drought in EastAfrica during the short rains season’ Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2022GL100905.
  • Doi, T., S.K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2024: ‘Seasonal predictability of the extreme Pakistanirainfall of 2022 possible contributions from the northern coastal Arabian Sea temperature’ npjClimate and Atmospheric Science 7 (1), 13

Major achievements

Dr. Takeshi Doi has made a number of outstanding contributions to the study of the mechanisms of seasonal and interannual variations in tropical ocean temperatures, in particular, he deserves special mention for clarifying the development and decay mechanisms of sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Atlantic and mid-latitude continental west coast using a coupled atmosphere-ocean model, and for demonstrating that these anomalies can be predicted more than six months in advance.To predict the occurrence of extreme climatic events such as heat waves, warm winters, droughts, and floods caused by these sea surface temperature variations several months in advance, he improved the coupled atmosphere-ocean model by introducing an initialization system and a sea ice model, and completed the SINTEX-F2 seasonal prediction system. His series of researches have led to important developments in the understanding of the role of tropical ocean variability in interannual climate variability and its predictability, and are highly regarded internationally.

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Recommender

Masami Nonaka

Supporters

Yukio Masumoto,Toshio Yamagata