Problems on forecasting earthquakes and volcanic eruption
Scope
Italian government's Civil Protection Agency made no effective warning about the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake, which killed more than 300 people, and it has been blamed by citizens. In June,2010 the L'Aquila public prosecutor's office named several scientists as being investigated for manslaughter in relation to the earthquake because the scientists advised the Civil Protection Agency. This is caused by the large gap between scientific ability for forecasting and forecasting expected from citizens. The similar situations have been repeatedly experienced in Japan, where earthquakes and volcanic eruptions frequently occur. However, we have not been making systematic efforts to fill the gap. In this session, we would like to have fruitful discussions to fill the gap. We are expecting the presentations from not only seismologists and volcanologists but also researchers of the other natural hazards, journalists and people related to civil protection.
Convener
Naoji Koizumi
koizumi-n@aist.go.jp
Co-Convener
Koshun Yamaoka, Eisuke Fujita, Kazuyuki Nakagawa
Abstract Downloads
Session Informations
Cancellation and time schedule change are shown here.



May 24th Room:304 Time:AM1
SessionID:U021 Chairman:Koshun Yamaoka
The colored are the invited.
Start Time Presentation Number Title (PDF download) Presenter Authors
08:30 U021-01 L'Aquila earthquake in 2009 and the international commission on operational earthquake forecast Koshun Yamaoka Koshun Yamaoka
08:55 U021-02 Information from Disaster Sciences as Risk and Crisis Management Satoko Oki Satoko Oki,
Kazuki Koketsu,
Jiro Tomari et al.
09:20 U021-03 Earthquake Information for Disaster mitigation, - Roles and operation schemes of Japan Meteorological Agency - Jun Funasaki Jun Funasaki,
Masaki Nakamura,
Yohei Hasegawa et al.
09:40 U021-04 Why did Prof. Oomori say that Tokyo big earthquakes would never happen? Jiro Tomari Jiro Tomari
09:55 U021-05 Lessons learned from the career of Prof. A. Imamura for the earthquake disaster prevention Masayuki Takemura Masayuki Takemura
May 24th Room:304 Time:AM2
SessionID:U021 Chairman:Eisuke Fujita
The colored are the invited.
Start Time Presentation Number Title (PDF download) Presenter Authors
10:45 U021-06 An Instance correspond to the 2000 Tottori-ken Seibu Earthquake Ryohei Nishida Ryohei Nishida
11:05 U021-07 Cooperation with disaster prevention organization in operation of Eruption Alert Level Hitoshi Yamasato Hitoshi Yamasato
11:25 U021-08 MAGMATIC FLUID SUPPLY INTO LAKES NYOS AND MONOUN, AND MITIGATION OF NATURAL DISASTERS Takeshi Ohba Takeshi Ohba,
Minoru Kusakabe,
Akira Ueda et al.
11:45 U021-09 The center for volcano disaster prevention education on Fuji volcano hazard - attempt of FVDPIC, YIES Takashi Uchiyama Takashi Uchiyama,
Eisuke Fujita,
Tomofumi Kozono et al.
12:00 U021-10 Troubles of the JMA Volcanic Warnig and Volcanic Alert Levels Yukio Hayakawa Yukio Hayakawa
12:15 U021-11 Verification study of validity of hazard information for seismic and volcanic disasters in Japan: present status Masato Koyama Masato Koyama,
Shin Murakoshi,
Toshiko Kikkawa
May 24th Room:304 Time:PM1
SessionID:U021 Chairman:Naoji Koizumi, Kazuyuki Nakagawa
The colored are the invited.
Start Time Presentation Number Title (PDF download) Presenter Authors
14:15 U021-12 Interview and questionnaire surveys of The Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion's outcomes Rai Okabe Rai Okabe,
Hiroyuki Tomida,
masafumi Sato
14:30 U021-13 Expectations for the Practical Application of Predictions of Earthquake and Volcanic Eruption Takayoshi Iwata Takayoshi Iwata
14:50 U021-14 Current status and challenges for the future in broadcasting disaster-prevention information in television news Atsushi Oketa Atsushi Oketa
15:10 U021-15 The responsibilities of information recipient?Information and Intelligence Eiji Kuwabara Eiji Kuwabara
15:30 U021-16 Science Cafe for introduce of Scientific Uncertainty Miwa Kuri Miwa Kuri,
Yuko Murakami,
Koji Tachibana
15:45 U021-17 How can we accommodate uncertainty of natural events?; natural science and disaster reduction Norio Maki Norio Maki
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