Problems on forecasting earthquakes and volcanic eruption
Scope
Italian government's Civil Protection Agency made no effective warning about the 2009 L'Aquila earthquake, which killed more than 300 people, and it has been blamed by citizens. In June,2010 the L'Aquila public prosecutor's office named several scientists as being investigated for manslaughter in relation to the earthquake because the scientists advised the Civil Protection Agency. This is caused by the large gap between scientific ability for forecasting and forecasting expected from citizens. The similar situations have been repeatedly experienced in Japan, where earthquakes and volcanic eruptions frequently occur. However, we have not been making systematic efforts to fill the gap. In this session, we would like to have fruitful discussions to fill the gap. We are expecting the presentations from not only seismologists and volcanologists but also researchers of the other natural hazards, journalists and people related to civil protection.
Convener
Naoji Koizumi
koizumi-n@aist.go.jp
Co-Convener
Koshun Yamaoka, Eisuke Fujita, Kazuyuki Nakagawa
Abstract Download
Session Informations
Cancellation and time schedule change are shown here.

May 24th U021 Room: Convention Hall
Core Time: PM2
The colored are the invited.
Presentation Number Title (PDF download) Presenter Authors
U021-P01 Lake Nyos gas disaster (Cameroon): Latest situation Minoru Kusakabe Minoru Kusakabe
U021-P02 A preliminary test for the probabilities of major interplate earthquake forecasted by ERCJ Masami Okada Masami Okada
U021-P03 Attitude of secondary school students to rumor of earthquake and earthquake prediction Yoshiaki Orihara Yoshiaki Orihara
U021-P04 "Disaster Risk Information Platform" -Advancement/Distribution/Utilization of Information for Disaster Preparation- Toshinari Nagasaka Toshinari Nagasaka
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