Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A) | ||
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Session Sub-category | Complex & General(CG) | |
Session ID | A-CG55 | |
Title | Interdisciplinary climate scenario research: Advancing methods and integrating with emulators | |
Short Title | Interdisciplinary scenario research | |
Main Convener | Name | Junichi Tsutsui |
Affiliation | Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry | |
Co-Convener 1 | Name | Masahiro Sugiyama |
Affiliation | Institute for Future Initiatives, the University of Tokyo | |
Co-Convener 2 | Name | KIYOSHI TAKAHASHI |
Affiliation | National Institute for Environmental Studies | |
Session Language |
J |
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Scope |
Climate change research is based on scenarios derived from socioeconomic, climate, and impact modeling and their outputs. Each scenario has a mutual input-output relationship, and inter-disciplinary collaboration through the passing of scenarios ensures consistent knowledge. This process involves compounding uncertainties associated with modeling limitations and knowledge gaps. To address these uncertainties, model intercomparison projects have been conducted to improve understanding in different fields, and novel methods including those with emulators have been developed for synthesizing multi-model outcome and supporting observations. From this perspective, this session aims to promote interdisciplinary collaboration in scenario-building processes and invites presentations on all aspects of modeling methods and uncertainties, encompassing, but not limited to, recent progress in scenario frameworks and model intercomparison, key processes leading to reducing uncertainties, the development and application of different types of emulators, and the methodologies of assessing scenarios with uncertainty quantification. |
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Presentation Format | Oral and Poster presentation |
Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
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Poster Presentation May 29 PM3 | ||
ACG55-P01 | Minimal CMIP Emulator (MCE): Update for comprehensive probabilistic climate projections | Junichi Tsutsui |
ACG55-P02 | Developing the integrated assessment model SCM4OPT-ECON (version 1.0) to explore optimal cost-benefit paths for Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios | Xuanming Su |
ACG55-P03 | Projecting long-term pathways of greenhouse gas emissions and carbon dioxide removal with an Integrated Assessment Model emulator | Weiwei Xiong |