Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A)
Session Sub-category Complex & General(CG)
Session ID A-CG64
Title Projection and detection of global environmental change
Short Title Global environmental change
Main Convener Name Michio Kawamiya
Affiliation Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 1 Name Lynn Hirose
Affiliation Princeton University
Co-Convener 2 Name V Ramaswamy
Affiliation NOAA GFDL
Co-Convener 3 Name Kaoru Tachiiri
Affiliation Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 4 Name Hiroaki Tatebe
Affiliation Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Session Language
E
Scope
Manifestations of global warming and related anthropogenic environmental changes are becoming evident in a number of parameters of scientific and societal interest. Projected in the future are more frequent extreme weather events, rising sea levels, ocean acidification and hypoxia, and large-scale ecosystem changes. The 7th phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP7) is now underway with a perspective of possible contributions to the 7th Assessment Report (AR7) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), due to be published in early 2028. In addition to CMIP7, various other types of projection and prediction research are also flourishing, including event attribution, model development incorporating the interaction between environmental change and socioeconomics, and high-resolution model development advocating a "global digital twin", and applications resulting from these investigations. This session hosts the latest research findings with a view to modeling global-to-regional projections and predictions, and interdisciplinary collaborations including those with observational research and linkages to social sciences. We welcome presentations on topics such as the initial analysis of results obtained from the CMIP7 Fast Track experiments, and the development of high-resolution models for future applications.
Presentation Format Oral and Poster presentation
Time Presentation No Title Presenter
Oral Presentation May 29 PM1
13:45 - 14:00 ACG64-01 Development of an AGCM for High-Resolution Climate Simulation Combining MIROC and NICAM Shuhei Matsugishi
14:00 - 14:15 ACG64-02 Historical Trends and Future Projections of Climate Change Impacts on the Maasai Mara Benjamin Goodsell
14:15 - 14:30 ACG64-03 A Phase-Insensitive Framework for Evaluating Terrestrial GPP Variability in CMIP6 Earth System Models Yusuke Satoh
14:30 - 14:45 ACG64-04 Model Evaluation of Iron-containing Aerosols from Anthropogenic and Lithogenic Sources Based on Observations Akinori Ito
14:45 - 15:00 ACG64-05 Emergent constraint on the future global temperature and remaining carbon budget Irina Melnikova
15:00 - 15:15 ACG64-06 Uncertainty Quantification of an Earth System Model for risk assessment of Climate Tipping via Non-stationary Extreme Events Amane Kubo
Presentation No Title Presenter
Poster Presentation May 29 PM3
ACG64-P01 Re-evaluating Empirical WBGT Estimation Formulas under Recent Climate Change in Japan Ken Noguchi
ACG64-P02 Comparison of Forcing Data used in Climate Model Experiments Between CMIP7 and CMIP6 Manabu Abe
ACG64-P03 Integrating Terrestrial Nitrogen Limitation into SCM4OPT v4.0 for Long-Term SSP Projections Xuanming Su
ACG64-P04 Development of a Unified Photosynthesis-Hydraulics Module for MIROC-ES2L Keiichi Hashimoto
ACG64-P05 Assessing climate-human feedback using a coupled Earth-human system model Kaoru Tachiiri
ACG64-P06 Long-term Earth System Responses, Reversibility, and Tipping Points Beyond 2100: Implications for Climate Policy Tokuta Yokohata