Session outline
| Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Session Sub-category | Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment(AS) | |
| Session ID | A-AS04 | |
| Title | Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research: Past, Present, and Future | |
| Short Title | Tropical Cyclone | |
| Main Convener | Name | Satoki Tsujino |
| Affiliation | Meteorological Research Institute | |
| Co-Convener 1 | Name | Sachie Kanada |
| Affiliation | Nagoya University | |
| Co-Convener 2 | Name | Kosuke Ito |
| Affiliation | Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University | |
| Co-Convener 3 | Name | Yoshiaki Miyamoto |
| Affiliation | Faculty of Environment and Information Studies, Keio University | |
| Session Language |
E |
|
| Scope |
Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause severe disasters in many countries by torrential rainfall, destructive winds, and storm surge. Intense TCs caused severe damages in many areas. As the surface temperature of ocean, - the energy source of TC -, increases with global warming, the change of TC activity in the future warming climate is expected. Therefore, it is an urgent problem to obtain deeper understanding of mechanisms and associated phenomena on TC genesis, intensity, structure, and motion, more accurate mid- to long-term projections of the TC parameters, and advanced observations and better forecast of TC. The TC researches are important for disaster prevention as well as the academic development, and hence do contribute to the future progress of earth and planetary science. It is also important to quickly share knowledge through immediate case studies. In 2025, several typhoons formed and developed in the South China Sea and near 30-degree North, and penetration flight observations across the eye of Typhoon Neoguri (2025) were conducted for two consecutive days. In this session, we welcome papers on various aspects and fields of TC studies. We also welcome research on the use of AI for typhoon research, forecasting and prediction. We hope that the session will provide an opportunity to establish new researches among researchers in different fields, and a new direction for future TC researches. |
|
| Presentation Format | Oral and Poster presentation | |
| Time | Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oral Presentation May 27 AM1 | |||
| 9:00 - 9:15 | AAS04-01 | Evaluation of tropical cyclone genesis forecasts with ECMWF's AIFS in the western North Pacific | Yasuhiro Kawabata |
| 9:15 - 9:30 | AAS04-02 | SHIPS-Based Typhoon Intensity Prediction Using Interpretable Shallow Kolmogorov–Arnold Network | Atsushi Takahashi |
| 9:30 - 9:45 | AAS04-03 | Evaluating the Capacity and Validity of Machine Learning for Tropical Genesis Prediction in the Western North Pacific Using ERA5 | Fadiya Sakina Azhari |
| 9:45 - 10:00 | AAS04-04 | An Assessment of Analysis and Forecasting of Severe Tropical Cyclones over the Arabian Sea using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model | ROHINI ASHOK |
| 10:00 - 10:15 | AAS04-05 | Improved Forecast of Severe Cyclonic Storms over the Bay of Bengal through Assimilation of Microwave Humidity Sounder Radiances | Ambily Thankachan |
| 10:15 - 10:30 | AAS04-06 | Recent increase in the number of Super Typhoons in the Philippines | Joseph Basconcillo |
| Oral Presentation May 27 AM2 | |||
| 10:45 - 11:00 | AAS04-07 | Structure and Dynamics of the Multi-level Secondary Circulations in Tropical Cyclones | David S Nolan |
| 11:00 - 11:15 | AAS04-08 | Investigating Non-Propagating Waves in the Outflow Layer of Tropical Cyclones Using Geostationary Satellite Data | Shanna Chamhitt |
| 11:15 - 11:30 | AAS04-09 | A Dynamical Model for the Inner-Core Evolution of a Tropical Cyclone during Landfall | Takuya Takahashi |
| 11:30 - 11:45 | AAS04-10 | Helicity-Associated Upscale Energy Transfer in a Tropical Cyclone | Leia Pauline Sagisi Tonga |
| 11:45 - 12:00 | AAS04-11 | Nonaxisymmetric Upper-Level Warm-Core Structure of a Typhoon Revealed by Novel Quality-Control and Analysis Procedures Applied to In Situ Aircraft Observations | Kazuhisa Tsuboki |
| 12:00 - 12:15 | AAS04-12 | Mechanisms of Tropical Cyclone Development under Vertical Wind Shear: Idealized Experiments without Prescribed Initial Vortices | Masaki Satoh |
| Oral Presentation May 27 PM1 | |||
| 13:45 - 14:00 | AAS04-13 | Assessing the Possible Worst Heavy Rainfall Events in Mid-latitude Associated with Tropical Cyclones under Warming Climates | Sachie Kanada |
| 14:00 - 14:15 | AAS04-14 | Effect of secondary circulation associated with a tropical cyclone on PRE rainfall enhancement | Kazuo Saito |
| 14:15 - 14:30 | AAS04-15 | Destructive Potential Enhancement and Precipitation Pattern Shift in Seafalling Tropical Cyclones | Enoch Yan Lok Tsui |
| 14:30 - 14:45 | AAS04-16 | The Evolution of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Size in Observations and HighResMIP Models | Yushan Han |
| 14:45 - 15:00 | AAS04-17 | Ocean Warming Pattern Controls the Future Latitude of Tropical Cyclone Maximum Intensity in the WNP | Masato Mori |
| 15:00 - 15:15 | AAS04-18 | Spatio-Temporal Variability of Typhoon Eye Diameters Derived from Satellite Observations | Namiko Toriyama |
| Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
|---|---|---|
| Poster Presentation May 27 PM3 | ||
| AAS04-P01 | Diversity of tropical cyclone response to artificial forcing: a case study of TY1821 | Tomoe Nasuno |
| AAS04-P02 |
Spatiotemporal Interactions Between Marine Heatwaves and Typhoon Intensity Across Vietnamese Coastal Sectors Ngo Hong Thuong¹, Po-Chun Hsu¹,² ¹Center for Space and Remote Sensing Research, National Central University, Taoyuan, 320317, Taiwan ²Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Science, National Central University, Taoyuan, 320317, Taiwan |
Thuong Hong Ngo |
| AAS04-P03 | Intensity-Stratified Tropical Cyclones Drive Asymmetric SST Cooling and Marine Heatwave Downgrades in the South China Sea | Thi-Kieu-Diem Nguyen |
| AAS04-P04 | Tropical Cyclones Approaching Tanzania Impact on Rainfall in East Africa | Michinori Ideyoshi |
| AAS04-P05 | Reconstruction of Potential Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific over the Past Millennium Based on Tree Rings and Corals | Risheng Liang |
| AAS04-P06 | Reconstructing the Mid-Holocene Tropical Cyclone Activity Using MIROC5 Atmosphere-Ocean Global Coupling Model: Bridging the Gap Between Models and Proxies | Norihiro Matsumura |
| AAS04-P07 | Intensity and structural changes by aircraft observations during phases of mature to weakening of Typhoon Neoguri (2025) | Satoki Tsujino |
| AAS04-P08 | Reproducing the Extreme 1959 Tropical Cyclone Season over the Western North Pacific Using a High-Resolution Model | Xu Chen |
| AAS04-P09 | Changes in the Tangential Wind Structure of Tropical Cyclone under Global Warming in High-Resolution Idealized Numerical Experiments | Haru Shinoda |
| AAS04-P10 | Change in Track due to the Chain Interactions of Two Tropical Cyclones: A Case Study of Talas and Nanmadol (2011) | Naoki Morita |
| AAS04-P11 | Tropical cyclone motion due to the effective-β -gyre | Yamato Kaneno |
| AAS04-P12 | Adjoint Sensitivity of Vertical Wind Shear for Targeted Observations toward Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting | Yusuke Umemiya |
| AAS04-P13 | Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis of Typhoon Khanun (2023) for Identifying Effective Observation Locations to Improve Near-Core Wind Speed Forecasts | Daiki Suzuki |
| AAS04-P14 | Assessment of ASV Observation Impacts on Tropical Cyclone Data Assimilation Using OSSEs | Naoko Kosaka |
| AAS04-P15 | Design and Implementation of a Typhoon Ready System for Impact-Based Preparedness | HANA NA |
| AAS04-P16 | Transboundary Typhoon Continuum between China and Korea: Defining Linked Typhoon Impacts | Woo-Sik Jung |