Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A) | ||
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Session Sub-category | Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment(AS) | |
Session ID | A-AS02 | |
Title | Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research: Past, Present, and Future | |
Short Title | Tropical Cyclone | |
Main Convener | Name | Satoki Tsujino |
Affiliation | Meteorological Research Institute | |
Co-Convener 1 | Name | Sachie Kanada |
Affiliation | Nagoya University | |
Co-Convener 2 | Name | Kosuke Ito |
Affiliation | Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University | |
Co-Convener 3 | Name | Yoshiaki Miyamoto |
Affiliation | Faculty of Environment and Information Studies, Keio University | |
Session Language |
E |
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Scope |
Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause severe disasters in many countries by torrential rainfall, destructive winds, and storm surge. Intense TCs caused severe damages in many areas of Japan recently; a record-breaking heavy rainfall occurred in western Japan due partly to Typhoon Prapiroon (2018), Kansai airport was forced to be closed by Typhoons Jebi and Trami in 2018, Typhoon Faxai (2019) caused a long-term shut-down in Chiba prefecture, and the track prediction for Typhoon Shanshan (2024) was unusually difficult as it approached Japan. As the surface temperature of ocean, - the energy source of TC -, increases with global warming, the change of TC activity in the future warming climate is expected. Therefore, it is an urgent problem to obtain deeper understanding of mechanisms and associated phenomena on TC genesis, intensity, structure, and motion, more accurate mid- to long-term projections of the TC parameters, and advanced observations and better forecast of TC. The TC researches are important for disaster prevention as well as the academic development, and hence do contribute to the future progress of earth and planetary science. In this session, we welcome papers on various aspects and fields of TC studies. We hope that the session will provide an opportunity to establish new researches among researchers in different fields, and a new direction for future TC researches. |
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Presentation Format | Oral and Poster presentation | |
Invited Authors |
Kazuhisa Tsuboki ( Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University) Takeshi Horinouchi (Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University) Iam-Fei Pun (National Central University, Taiwan) I-I Lin (National Taiwan University) Han Zhang (Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources) Kazuo Saito (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo) |
Time | Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
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Oral Presentation May 25 AM2 | |||
10:45 - 11:00 | AAS02-01 | Improvement of Typhoon Intensification Simulation by Data Assimilation of a Single Dropsonde Sounding in the Eye | Kazuhisa Tsuboki |
11:00 - 11:15 | AAS02-02 | Two-day Consecutive Typhoon Aircraft Observations Capturing Development and Phase Transition to an Extratropical Cyclone | Sachie Kanada |
11:15 - 11:30 | AAS02-03 | Objective analysis of typhoon intensity by assimilation of satellite-derived cloud-tracking winds in the eye: Case of Typhoon Trami (2018) | Satoki Tsujino |
11:30 - 11:45 | AAS02-04 | Impact of Vertical Wind Shear on the Internal Structure of Tropical Cyclones During the Development Phase | Murata Hiroshi |
11:45 - 12:00 | AAS02-05 | Spectral analysis on Large Eddy Simulation of Entire Tropical Cyclone | Leia Pauline Sagisi Tonga |
12:00 - 12:15 | AAS02-06 | Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on the Extreme Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific in 1959 | Xu Chen |
Oral Presentation May 25 PM1 | |||
13:45 - 14:00 | AAS02-07 | Statistical prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification with an explainable AI | Takeshi Horinouchi |
14:00 - 14:15 | AAS02-08 | Integrating Encoder-Decoder Neural Networks and Multi-Model Guidance for Typhoon Track Forecast Uncertainty Estimation | Fang-Yi Lin |
14:15 - 14:30 | AAS02-09 | Pronounced advance on typhoon track forecast with global convection-permitting model | Jun Gu |
14:30 - 14:45 | AAS02-10 | Formation of long-lasting inactive and active multiple tropical cyclone events in the western North Pacific | Lilan Chen |
14:45 - 15:00 | AAS02-11 | Marine Heatwave as a Supercharger for the Strongest Typhoon in the East China Sea | Iam-Fei Pun |
15:00 - 15:15 | AAS02-12 | Re-intensification of seafalling tropical cyclones | Enoch Yan Lok Tsui |
Oral Presentation May 25 PM2 | |||
15:30 - 15:45 | AAS02-13 | Suppression of Tropical Cyclones over the South China Sea Due to Ocean Internal Tides | I-I Lin |
15:45 - 16:00 | AAS02-14 | Air-Sea Conditions Observed by Multiple Platforms during Tropical Cyclones in Northern South China Sea in 2023 and 2024: Cases Study | Han Zhang |
16:00 - 16:15 | AAS02-15 | Future Changes in Typhoon Characteristics Based on SST Ensemble Simulations by AGCM | Yoshiki Matsuo |
16:15 - 16:30 | AAS02-16 | Intensified Tropical Cyclones Simulations Employing a High-Wind Drag Relation over Sea Surface | Wei Wei |
16:30 - 16:45 | AAS02-17 | SWOT: New capabilities for monitoring sea level anomalies in the wake of tropical cyclones. | CLEMENT COMBOT |
16:45 - 17:00 | AAS02-18 | Validation of the PWP ocean mixed layer model and its improvements for Tropical Cyclone forecast simulations | Yutaka Yoshikawa |
Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
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Poster Presentation May 25 PM3 | ||
AAS02-P01 | Effect of northward ageostrophic wind on PRE enhancement: Secondary circulation | Kazuo Saito |
AAS02-P02 | Observing system simulation experiment for tropical cyclone prediction using SAMRAI | Kenji Aono |
AAS02-P03 | Application of AI Techniques to Develop a Probabilistic and Region-Specific Week-2 Typhoon Formation Index Based on Large-Scale Environmental Factors | HAN-YU HSU |
AAS02-P04 | Diagnosing TC intensity variations through the lens of eyewall convective mass fluxes: a perspective from realistic simulations. | Leo Vinour |
AAS02-P05 | Upper-Level Structures of Typhoon Nanmadol (2022) Revealed by Aircraft Flight Data | Ryu Matsui |
AAS02-P06 | Systemic Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting: Evaluating the Typhoon Ready System for Multi-Hazard Preparedness | Woo-Sik Jung |
AAS02-P07 | Modulation of Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific by North Atlantic Tripolar SST | Shibin Xu |
AAS02-P08 | Spatial Verification Evaluation of Typhoon Rainstorm By Multiple Numerical Models | Xin Min Wang |
AAS02-P09 | Assessing generational disparities in cyclone characteristics within the Northwest Pacific Region | Julien Eric Boulange |
AAS02-P10 | Enhanced Impact of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones on El Niño Intensity in the Past 40 Years | Tingting Fan |
AAS02-P11 | Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks by using SOM | Masaya Kato |
AAS02-P12 | More autumn tropical cyclone genesis in the South China Sea during El Niño to La Niña transition | Jiepeng Chen |
AAS02-P13 | Evaluation of Data Assimilation Using Sea Surface Observation Data during Typhoons with OSSEs | Naoko Kosaka |
AAS02-P14 | Predictability of Typhoon KHANUN (2023) | Mio Matsueda |
AAS02-P15 | Movement of a two-dimensional barotropic vortex due to effective-β-gyre | Yamato Kaneno |
AAS02-P16 | Whirlwinds of Risk: Complex Insights into Cyclone Impacts | Md. Rezuanul Islam |