Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A)
Session Sub-category Atmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment(AS)
Session ID A-AS02
Title Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research: Past, Present, and Future
Short Title Tropical Cyclone
Main Convener Name Satoki Tsujino
Affiliation Meteorological Research Institute
Co-Convener 1 Name Sachie Kanada
Affiliation Nagoya University
Co-Convener 2 Name Kosuke Ito
Affiliation Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University
Co-Convener 3 Name Yoshiaki Miyamoto
Affiliation Faculty of Environment and Information Studies, Keio University
Session Language
E
Scope
Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause severe disasters in many countries by torrential rainfall, destructive winds, and storm surge. Intense TCs caused severe damages in many areas of Japan recently; a record-breaking heavy rainfall occurred in western Japan due partly to Typhoon Prapiroon (2018), Kansai airport was forced to be closed by Typhoons Jebi and Trami in 2018, Typhoon Faxai (2019) caused a long-term shut-down in Chiba prefecture, and the track prediction for Typhoon Shanshan (2024) was unusually difficult as it approached Japan. As the surface temperature of ocean, - the energy source of TC -, increases with global warming, the change of TC activity in the future warming climate is expected. Therefore, it is an urgent problem to obtain deeper understanding of mechanisms and associated phenomena on TC genesis, intensity, structure, and motion, more accurate mid- to long-term projections of the TC parameters, and advanced observations and better forecast of TC. The TC researches are important for disaster prevention as well as the academic development, and hence do contribute to the future progress of earth and planetary science. In this session, we welcome papers on various aspects and fields of TC studies. We hope that the session will provide an opportunity to establish new researches among researchers in different fields, and a new direction for future TC researches.
Presentation Format Oral and Poster presentation
Invited Authors Kazuhisa Tsuboki ( Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University)
Takeshi Horinouchi (Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University)
Iam-Fei Pun (National Central University, Taiwan)
I-I Lin (National Taiwan University)
Han Zhang (Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources)
Kazuo Saito (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo)
Time Presentation No Title Presenter
Oral Presentation May 25 AM2
10:45 - 11:00 AAS02-01 Improvement of Typhoon Intensification Simulation by Data Assimilation of a Single Dropsonde Sounding in the Eye Kazuhisa Tsuboki
11:00 - 11:15 AAS02-02 Two-day Consecutive Typhoon Aircraft Observations Capturing Development and Phase Transition to an Extratropical Cyclone Sachie Kanada
11:15 - 11:30 AAS02-03 Objective analysis of typhoon intensity by assimilation of satellite-derived cloud-tracking winds in the eye: Case of Typhoon Trami (2018) Satoki Tsujino
11:30 - 11:45 AAS02-04 Impact of Vertical Wind Shear on the Internal Structure of Tropical Cyclones During the Development Phase Murata Hiroshi
11:45 - 12:00 AAS02-05 Spectral analysis on Large Eddy Simulation of Entire Tropical Cyclone Leia Pauline Sagisi Tonga
12:00 - 12:15 AAS02-06 Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on the Extreme Tropical Cyclones over the Western North Pacific in 1959 Xu Chen
Oral Presentation May 25 PM1
13:45 - 14:00 AAS02-07 Statistical prediction of tropical cyclone rapid intensification with an explainable AI Takeshi Horinouchi
14:00 - 14:15 AAS02-08 Integrating Encoder-Decoder Neural Networks and Multi-Model Guidance for Typhoon Track Forecast Uncertainty Estimation Fang-Yi Lin
14:15 - 14:30 AAS02-09 Pronounced advance on typhoon track forecast with global convection-permitting model Jun Gu
14:30 - 14:45 AAS02-10 Formation of long-lasting inactive and active multiple tropical cyclone events in the western North Pacific Lilan Chen
14:45 - 15:00 AAS02-11 Marine Heatwave as a Supercharger for the Strongest Typhoon in the East China Sea Iam-Fei Pun
15:00 - 15:15 AAS02-12 Re-intensification of seafalling tropical cyclones Enoch Yan Lok Tsui
Oral Presentation May 25 PM2
15:30 - 15:45 AAS02-13 Suppression of Tropical Cyclones over the South China Sea Due to Ocean Internal Tides I-I Lin
15:45 - 16:00 AAS02-14 Air-Sea Conditions Observed by Multiple Platforms during Tropical Cyclones in Northern South China Sea in 2023 and 2024: Cases Study Han Zhang
16:00 - 16:15 AAS02-15 Future Changes in Typhoon Characteristics Based on SST Ensemble Simulations by AGCM Yoshiki Matsuo
16:15 - 16:30 AAS02-16 Intensified Tropical Cyclones Simulations Employing a High-Wind Drag Relation over Sea Surface Wei Wei
16:30 - 16:45 AAS02-17 SWOT: New capabilities for monitoring sea level anomalies in the wake of tropical cyclones. CLEMENT COMBOT
16:45 - 17:00 AAS02-18 Validation of the PWP ocean mixed layer model and its improvements for Tropical Cyclone forecast simulations Yutaka Yoshikawa
Presentation No Title Presenter
Poster Presentation May 25 PM3
AAS02-P01 Effect of northward ageostrophic wind on PRE enhancement: Secondary circulation Kazuo Saito
AAS02-P02 Observing system simulation experiment for tropical cyclone prediction using SAMRAI Kenji Aono
AAS02-P03 Application of AI Techniques to Develop a Probabilistic and Region-Specific Week-2 Typhoon Formation Index Based on Large-Scale Environmental Factors HAN-YU HSU
AAS02-P04 Diagnosing TC intensity variations through the lens of eyewall convective mass fluxes: a perspective from realistic simulations. Leo Vinour
AAS02-P05 Upper-Level Structures of Typhoon Nanmadol (2022) Revealed by Aircraft Flight Data Ryu Matsui
AAS02-P06 Systemic Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting: Evaluating the Typhoon Ready System for Multi-Hazard Preparedness Woo-Sik Jung
AAS02-P07 Modulation of Landfalling Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Western North Pacific by North Atlantic Tripolar SST Shibin Xu
AAS02-P08 Spatial Verification Evaluation of Typhoon Rainstorm By Multiple Numerical Models Xin Min Wang
AAS02-P09 Assessing generational disparities in cyclone characteristics within the Northwest Pacific Region Julien Eric Boulange
AAS02-P10 Enhanced Impact of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones on El Niño Intensity in the Past 40 Years Tingting Fan
AAS02-P11 Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks by using SOM Masaya Kato
AAS02-P12 More autumn tropical cyclone genesis in the South China Sea during El Niño to La Niña transition Jiepeng Chen
AAS02-P13 Evaluation of Data Assimilation Using Sea Surface Observation Data during Typhoons with OSSEs Naoko Kosaka
AAS02-P14 Predictability of Typhoon KHANUN (2023) Mio Matsueda
AAS02-P15 Movement of a two-dimensional barotropic vortex due to effective-β-gyre Yamato Kaneno
AAS02-P16 Whirlwinds of Risk: Complex Insights into Cyclone Impacts Md. Rezuanul Islam