Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A) | ||
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Session Sub-category | Complex & General(CG) | |
Session ID | A-CG46 | |
Title | Emulators: development and applications | |
Short Title | Emulators: development and applications | |
Main Convener | Name | Junichi Tsutsui |
Affiliation | Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry | |
Co-Convener 1 | Name | Masahiro Sugiyama |
Affiliation | Institute for Future Initiatives, the University of Tokyo | |
Co-Convener 2 | Name | KIYOSHI TAKAHASHI |
Affiliation | National Institute for Environmental Studies | |
Session Language |
J |
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Scope |
Emulators are an efficient method to generate complex model outputs, such as earth system projections, using physics-based reduced complexity models or algorithm-based approaches like artificial intelligence. Reduced complexity models played a central role in probabilistic assessment of global warming levels in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Some of the key assessments presented in the report, including warming contributions from individual climate forcing agents and warming-level categorization for numerous climate mitigation scenarios, were based on large-scale parameter ensemble experiments with reduced complexity models. The global warming level is a commonly used indicator in climate, impact, and mitigation scenarios, and the parameter ensemble reflects findings based on modeling, observations, and process understanding. From this perspective, the emulator can be seen as a tool to interconnect and integrate information from various disciplines. Climate patterns such as spatial distribution and seasonal changes, which are necessary for impact assessment, can be handled by algorithm-based emulators. Impact model emulators have also been developed to easily assess sectoral and regional impacts for various climate scenarios. This session will focus on the role of such emulators and aims to share individual findings related to emulator methodology and applications broadly to deepen mutual understanding. |
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Presentation Format | Oral and Poster presentation |
Time | Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
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Oral Presentation May 29 AM2 | |||
10:45 - 11:00 | ACG46-01 | Calibration of a two-layer model emulator for probabilistic assessment of warming levels | Junichi Tsutsui |
11:00 - 11:15 | ACG46-02 | Assessing carbon cycle projections from complex and simple models under concentration-driven Shared Socioeconomic Pathways | Irina Melnikova |
11:15 - 11:30 | ACG46-03 | Feedback-adjusted carbon prices | Hiroaki Sakamoto |
11:30 - 11:45 | ACG46-04 | Extending emission pathways to 2300 using an Integrated Assessment Model emulator | Weiwei Xiong |
11:45 - 12:00 | ACG46-05 | Transparent framework to assess the revision of climate pledges after the first Global Stocktake | Tanaka Katsumasa |
Presentation No | Title | Presenter |
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Poster Presentation May 29 PM3 | ||
ACG46-P01 | Interdisciplinary scenario research and the role of emulators | Masahiro Sugiyama |
ACG46-P02 | Two crucial issues in climate change impact assessments using the CMIP6 ensemble | Hideo Shiogama |
ACG46-P03 | Projection of Future Land Use Change under SSP-RCP Scenario over Ethiopia | Ermias Sisay Brhane |
ACG46-P04 | Exploring the applicability of deep learning regional climate model emulator for Compound Event adaptation during the west Africa summer monsoon passage: Initial approach | Precious Eromosele Ebiendele |
ACG46-P05 | Anthropogenic contributions to slow warming over 1998-2012 | Xuanming Su |
ACG46-P06 | Climate-biogeochemical feedback on atmospheric methane: Impacts of wetland methane and biogenic volatile organic compounds | Takashi Sekiya |
ACG46-P07 | Aligning long-term climate mitigation with enhanced methane action | Tanaka Katsumasa |