Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A)
Session Sub-category Complex & General(CG)
Session ID A-CG34
Title Projection and detection of global environmental change
Short Title Global environmental change
Main Convener Name Michio Kawamiya
Affiliation Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 1 Name Kaoru Tachiiri
Affiliation Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 2 Name Hiroaki Tatebe
Affiliation Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 3 Name V Ramaswamy
Affiliation NOAA GFDL
Session Language
E
Scope
Anthropogenic forcings on the global environment are expected to cause intensification of extreme events, such as sea-level rise, hurricanes and typhoons, ocean acidification, and deoxygenation, as well as regional-scale ecosystem changes. Under the international project CMIP6, Earth System modeling groups across the world performed simulations and published projection data, which made invaluable contributions to the 6th IPCC assessment report (AR6) published in August 2021, which attracted much attention from the general public and policymakers. Other than CMIP6, new types of studies, such as event attribution, coupling of socio-economic processes and Earth system dynamics, and realistic high resolution modeling advocating "Digital Twin Earth" are emerging in the field of global change predictions and projections. In addition, analysis of observational data is becoming increasingly important for assessing the credibility of model projections of the global environment. Interactions and collaborations beyond the boundaries of conventional scientific disciplines are desired for dealing with the issue of global changes and their societal impacts. This session hosts the latest research findings with a view to modeling global-to-regional projections and interdisciplinary collaborations including those with social sciences. Presentations on the direction of model development for the upcoming CMIP7, and ultra-high-resolution modeling that extends the frontiers further, are also welcome.
Presentation Format Oral and Poster presentation
Joint Session with AGU
Invited Authors Nagio Hirota (National Institute for Environmental Studies)
Luke P Van Roekel (Los Alamos National Laboratory)
Time Presentation No Title Presenter
Oral Presentation May 30 AM1
09:00 - 09:20 ACG34-01 Development of the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 7 (MIROC7) Nagio Hirota
09:20 - 09:40 ACG34-02 E3SM Ocean and Wave Modeling at Exascale Luke P Van Roekel
09:40 - 09:55 ACG34-03 Low-latitude mesopelagic nutrient recycling controls on productivity and export Keith Bradley Rodgers
09:55 - 10:10 ACG34-04 Long-term responses and tipping elements in Earth system beyond 2100 Tokuta Yokohata
Oral Presentation May 30 AM2
10:45 - 11:00 ACG34-05 Observational constraints on future climate-induced changes in the Amazonian carbon cycle Irina Melnikova
11:00 - 11:15 ACG34-06 Global modeling study of aerosol iron deposition to oceans in the Anthropocene Akinori Ito
11:15 - 11:30 ACG34-07 Investigative Study of Black Carbon Aerosol Concentration Variation at Indian Research Station – Bharati, Antarctica Satyajit Singh Saini
11:30 - 11:45 ACG34-08 Developing an Integrated Assessment Model to determine optimal cost-benefit paths for SSP1-5 Xuanming Su
11:45 - 12:00 ACG34-09 Feedback analysis of Earth-human systems using a loosely coupled model Kaoru Tachiiri
Presentation No Title Presenter
Poster Presentation May 30 PM3
ACG34-P01 Comparison of 1.5°C global warming impacts on temperature and precipitation extremes at different timings: before and after overshooting Yanyu Lu
ACG34-P02 Development of a numerical scheme for regridding between polar-stereographic projection ice-sheet model and geographic climate model Fuyuki SAITO
ACG34-P03 Developments toward coupled climate and ice sheet simulations using MIROC and IcIES Takashi Obase
ACG34-P04 Advanced studies of climate change projection – Area Theme 2: Biogeochemical modeling and climate simulations for carbon budget assessment Michio Kawamiya
ACG34-P05 Dynamical downscaling of future sea level change around Japan using high-resolution ocean model Tatsuo Suzuki
ACG34-P06 Impact of amplified interannual variability of biomass burning aerosol emissions in the CMIP6 Historical experiment with MIROC-ES2L Manabu Abe
ACG34-P07 Consistency of global carbon budget between concentration- and emission-driven historical experiments simulated by CMIP6 Earth system models Tomohiro Hajima
ACG34-P08 Basin-scale tracer replacement timescales in a one-degree global OGCM Kazuya Kusahara
ACG34-P09 Parameterizations of the air-ice and ice-ocean drag coefficients depending on the roughness of sea ice floes Rin Harada