Solid Earth Sciences (S)
Session Sub-categoryComplex & General(CG)
Session IDS-CG59
TitleReducing risks from earthquakes, tsunamis & volcanoes: new applications of realtime geophysical data
Short TitleReal-time monitoring and prediction
Main Convener NameMasashi Ogiso
AffiliationMeteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency
Co-Convener 1NameNaotaka YAMAMOTO CHIKASADA
AffiliationNational Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience
Co-Convener 2NameSatoshi Kawamoto
AffiliationGeospatial Information Authority of Japan
Co-Convener 3NameMitsuyuki Hoshiba
AffiliationMeteorological Research Institute
Session LanguageJ
ScopeAs the number of population centers grows in regions with earthquake, tsunami and volcano hazards, the importance of improving methods for rapid, realtime estimates of activity increases. Realtime monitoring, analysis, and prediction of seismic ground motion, crustal movement and tsunami will be powerful tools to contribute to earthquake and tsunami disaster preparedness/mitigation. Tsunami and Earthquake Early Warning systems exist today in many locations around the world. Now JMA has started to promptly provide Eruption Notices to inform people of impending and beginning volcanic eruptions. Large events like the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake (Mw9.0) have demonstrated some of the shortcomings of existing techniques. In this session, we invite presentations on new ideas, methods and applications of (near) realtime analysis of seismic, geodetic and tsunami data, to the problem of realtime prediction aimed at improving disaster preparedness/mitigation in the fields of earthquake, tsunami and volcano observation. Presentation is encouraged to bring together scientists, engineers, and practitioners from a broad range of backgrounds from around the world, and to promote collaborative communication at the leading edge of the science and technologies.
Presentation FormatOral and Poster presentation
Invited AuthorsRichard M Allen (University of California Berkeley)
Shin Aoi (National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience)
TimePresentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Oral Presentation May 30 PM1
13:45 - 14:00SCG59-01Earthquake early warning in the United States and beyondRichard M Allen
14:00 - 14:15SCG59-02Study on the relationship between seismometer site environment and earthquake early warning seismic parameter estimation accuracyKatsutomo Niwa
14:15 - 14:30SCG59-03Prediction of surface ground motion using underground seismic records based on data assimilation (2)Masaya Ishihara
14:30 - 14:45SCG59-04Development of Realtlime Long-Period Ground-Motion Prediction System and Demonstration ExperimentShin Aoi
14:45 - 15:00SCG59-05Real-time forecasting of long-period ground motions for the Nankai Trough earthquake: The effectivity of the Green function-based data assimilation methodAtsuki Oba
15:00 - 15:15SCG59-06Development of EEW system exchanging real-time seismic intensity and seismic waveformShigeki Horiuchi
Oral Presentation May 30 PM2
15:30 - 15:45SCG59-07Enhancements of real time seismic intensity estimation using seismic intensity meters maintained by a local government – Case study on Tottori prefecture -Takao Kagawa
15:45 - 16:00SCG59-08Drawig of the realtime seismic intesity on live screen and maximum distribution map for the Earthquak disaster prevension.
-Planar indication of seismic intensity using surface ground amplification factor-
Kenji Kanjo
16:00 - 16:15SCG59-09Improvements of the GEONET real-time analysis system (REGARD) for more reliable operationKazuyuki Ohashi
16:15 - 16:30SCG59-10Development of “real-time” uncertainty evaluation algorithm for the estimated coseismic fault model using MCMC approachKeitaro Ohno
16:30 - 16:45SCG59-11Drifting float measurement of pressure change by tsunamiMasayuki Obayashi
16:45 - 17:00SCG59-12Development of the Real-time Forecasting for Meteorite Impact TsunamiNaotaka YAMAMOTO CHIKASADA
Presentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Poster Presentation May 30 AM2
SCG59-P01Numerical Shake Prediction for earthquake early warning: prediction of distant future using Green function methodMitsuyuki Hoshiba
SCG59-P02Introduction of forward scattering model into the Numerical Shake Prediction schemeMasashi Ogiso
SCG59-P03Magnitude estimation by using ocean-bottom pressure gauge dataTakeshi Nakamura
SCG59-P04Calculation of tsunami propagation by applying ray tracing based on the shortest path method to tsunamisShoji Sekiguchi
SCG59-P05Derivation of the series expansion of Kajiura filter, Green's function of a tsunamiNobuki Kame