Session outline

Solid Earth Sciences(S) Session Sub Category Seismology(SS) Session ID S-SS01 Title Earthquake predictability research after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (2) Short title Earthquake predictability Convener Name Hiroshi Tsuruoka Affiliation Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo Univ. Co-convener 1. Name Danijel Schorlemmer Affiliation GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences Co-convener 2. Name Naoshi Hirata Affiliation Earthquake Research Institute, the University of Tokyo International Symposium 'International Symposium' in addition to Scientific session. Language English Scope Modern earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models. Japan, California, New Zealand, and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such testing experiments under the auspices of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). These experiments are yielding a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about a wide variety of forecast models including statistical and/or physics-based models, their components, performance, and methods of testing. We would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand. In addition, evaluation methods of earthquake forecasting are discussed. Type of presentation Oral and Poster presentation Invited papers Danijel Schorlemmer (GFZ) OGATA, Yosihiko （Institute of Industrial Science, the University of Tokyo）