大気水圏科学(A)
セッション小記号大気科学・気象学・大気環境
セッションIDA-AS03
タイトル和文最新の大気科学:台風研究の新展開~過去・現在・未来
英文Advances in Tropical Cyclone Research: Past, Present, and Future
タイトル短縮名和文台風
英文Tropical Cyclone
代表コンビーナ氏名和文中野 満寿男
英文Masuo Nakano
所属和文海洋研究開発機構
英文JAMSTEC Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
共同コンビーナ 1氏名和文和田 章義
英文Akiyoshi Wada
所属和文気象研究所台風研究部
英文Typhoon Research Department Meteorological Research Institute
共同コンビーナ 2氏名和文金田 幸恵
英文Sachie Kanada
所属和文名古屋大学宇宙地球環境研究所
英文Nagoya University
共同コンビーナ 3氏名和文伊藤 耕介
英文Kosuke Ito
所属和文琉球大学
英文University of the Ryukyus
発表言語EE
スコープ和文台風は大雨・暴風・高潮・高波をもたらし、しばしば大きな災害を引き起こす。したがって台風進路・強度・降水に関わる現象の理解や予測の高度化は地球惑星科学上の重要な課題である。特に2017年は台風18号(Talim)が1951年以降で初めて日本列島主要4島に上陸したほか、台風5号(Noru)の進路は特徴的であった。また北大西洋ではハリケーンHarvey、Irma、Mariaが猛威を振るった。
また、気候変動に伴う台風の強度や発生数の変化についても、データレスキューやデータ解析、大規模シミュレーションによって研究が進められている。航空機観測プロジェクトやひまわり8・9号、ドローンなどの新しい観測機器と高速計算機など科学技術の進展により、メカニズムの理解と数値予報に関する研究が新たな展開を見せ始めている。本セッションでは、台風に関わる幅広いトピックについて発表を募集し、今後の台風研究の方向性を探る。
英文Tropical cyclones (TCs) often bring torrential rainfall, gale, storm surge, and high surf that sometimes cause tremendous disasters. Therefore, understanding such phenomena associated with translation, intensity change, and precipitation of TCs and their accurate forecasts are important in the earth and planetary science. In addition, changes in the number and intensity of TCs due to global climate changes have been extensively studied by various approaches such as data rescue, data analyses, and climate modelling. Especially in 2017, Typhoon Talim made landfall on all of four major islands of Japan first ever since 1951 and Typhoon Noru had a strange track. In the Northern Atlantic, Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria caused tremendous damage in U.S.
Advances in innovative observations such as Himawari-8,9, unmanned drone, meteorological aircraft reconnaissance and supercomputers such as the earth simulator and K-computer have led to novel development of numerical weather forecasting and understanding of the phenomena due to the improvement of numerical modelling.
In this session, we welcome papers on various aspects of TC studies. We hope that the session will provide new direction for future TC research activity.
発表方法口頭および(または)ポスターセッション
ジョイントセッションAGU, AOGS
学協会セッション(団体会員)公益社団法人日本気象学会
招待講演
  • Michael Fiorino (University of Colorado Boulder)
  • James P Terry (College of Natural and Health Sciences, Zayed University, Academic City, PO Box 19282, Dubai, United Arab Emirates)
  • Ramesh P Singh (Chapman University, One University Drive, Orange, CA 92866)
  • 松岡 大祐 (国立研究開発法人海洋研究開発機構, 国立研究開発法人科学技術振興機構)
  • Michael M Bell (Colorado State University Fort Collins)
  • 山田 広幸 (琉球大学)
  • Yuhei Takaya (Meteorological Research Institute)
  • 中野 慎也 (情報・システム研究機構 統計数理研究所)
時間 講演番号 タイトル 発表者 予稿原稿
口頭発表 5月23日 AM1
09:00 - 09:15 AAS03-01Trends in Tropical Cyclone NWP in the HFIP decade 2007-2017Michael Fiorino予稿
09:15 - 09:30 AAS03-02Comparing the sinuosity of tropical cyclone tracks across major ocean basinsJames P Terry予稿
09:30 - 09:45 AAS03-03New tropical cyclone removal technique based on potential vorticity inversion and its application in climate diagnostics荒金 匠予稿
09:45 - 10:00 AAS03-04Dynamical Downscaling of two typhoons Chanthu and Lionrock over Northern Japan in 2016 and their response to climate changeSridhara Nayak予稿
10:00 - 10:15 AAS03-05秋季北西太平洋における台風の発達と黒潮の関係藤原 圭太予稿
10:15 - 10:30 AAS03-06Differences in tropical cyclogenesis in North Pacific between the strong El Nino years 1997 and 2015 investigated by perpetual July experiments with NICAM石山 尊浩予稿
口頭発表 5月23日 AM2
10:45 - 11:00 AAS03-07Changes in Land, Ocean, Meteorological and Atmospheric Parameters Along the Harvey Hurricane Track Observed from GPS, Buoys and Satellite DataRamesh P Singh予稿
11:00 - 11:15 AAS03-08Deep Learning Approach for Detecting Precursors of Tropical Cyclone Simulated by a Global Nonhydrostatic Atmospheric Model松岡 大祐予稿
11:15 - 11:30 AAS03-09Forecast of Minimum Sea Level Pressure by Statistical Analysis伊藤 耕介予稿
11:30 - 11:45 AAS03-10A Role of Vortical Hot Towers in Providing the Vortex Dynamo in the AtmosphereGalina Levina予稿
11:45 - 12:00 AAS03-11Environmental factors to influence the intensification and structural changes of Typhoon Noru (1705) indicated by satellite data analysis小山 亮予稿
12:00 - 12:15 AAS03-12台風の降水・構造情報を用いた台風強度予報モデルSHIPSのさらなる精度改善嶋田 宇大予稿
口頭発表 5月23日 PM1
13:45 - 14:00 AAS03-13Upper Tropospheric Temperature Impacts on Tropical Cyclone Structure and IntensityMichael M Bell予稿
14:00 - 14:15 AAS03-14Impacts of Tropospheric Temperature Structure on the Intensity of Tropical Cyclones山崎 聖太予稿
14:15 - 14:45 AAS03-15Double warm-core structure of Typhoon Lan (2017) observed by dropsondes during T-PARCII山田 広幸予稿
14:45 - 15:00 AAS03-16A Numerical Simulation of Warm Core in Typhoon Lan (2017)辻野 智紀予稿
15:00 - 15:15 AAS03-17Improvements in the forecast of TC Lan (2017) by assimilating dropsondes from T-PARCII and DOTSTAR伊藤 耕介予稿
講演番号 タイトル 発表者 予稿原稿
ポスター発表 5月23日 コア
AAS03-P01 Prediction and attribution of quiescent tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific in the early summer of 2016 Yuhei Takaya 予稿
AAS03-P02 Climatic properties of typhoons deduced from Monte Carlo simulation with a data-driven stochastic model 中野 慎也 予稿
AAS03-P03 Rapid intensification of extratropical and tropical cyclones in the context of solar wind-magnetosphere-ionosphere-atmosphere coupling Paul Prikryl 予稿
AAS03-P04 Relationship between the South China Sea summer monsoon onset and tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific in May Jingliang Huangfu 予稿
AAS03-P05 Relation of convective bursts to changes in the intensity of typhoon Lionrock (2016) simulated by an atmosphere-wave-ocean coupled model 和田 章義 予稿
AAS03-P06 Future Enhancement of Heavy Rainfall Events Associated with a Typhoon in the Midlatitude Regions 金田 幸恵 予稿
AAS03-P07 Statistical Characteristics of Rainfalls of Typhoons Affecting Taiwan and Simulations of Typhoon Nepartak (2016) Jian-Liang Wang 予稿
AAS03-P08 Future Changes in the Intraseasonal Variability and Typhoon Activity in a Nonhydrostatic Global Atmospheric Model 中野 満寿男 予稿
AAS03-P09 The Study on the Interactions between Meigi (2010)Typhoon Outer Circulation and Topography in Northeast of Taiwan JOU PING HOU 予稿
AAS03-P10 The Study on the Interaction between Talim Typhoon and Atmospheric River Jou-Ping Hou 予稿
AAS03-P11 Statistical Analysis of Tropical Cyclones in the Solomon Islands 伊藤 耕介 予稿
AAS03-P12 Estimating Extreme Wind Speed in the Typhoons that Affected the Korean Peninsula in 2015 JUNG WOO-SIK 予稿
AAS03-P13 A Study on the Highest Possible Wind Speed of Typhoons Affecting the Korean Peninsula by Abnormal Sea Surface Temperature in the West Pacific JUNG WOO-SIK 予稿