Solid Earth Sciences (S)
Session Sub-categorySeismology (SS)
Session IDS-SS09
TitleEarthquake prediction and forecast
Short TitleEarthquake prediction and forecast
Main Convener NameMasayuki Obayashi
AffiliationJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 1NameToshitaka Baba
AffiliationGraduate School of Science and Technology, Tokushima University
Session LanguageJ
ScopeThis session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches.
Presentation FormatOral and Poster presentation
TimePresentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Oral Presentation May 29 PM2
15:30 - 15:45SSS09-01Objective evaluationof precursory seismic quiescence and activation phenomenon in wide areaSumio Yoshikawa
15:45 - 16:00SSS09-02Long-term Probability of a Great Earthquake along the Kurile Trench, Hokkaido Japan (2)Masajiro Imoto
16:00 - 16:15SSS09-03Parallel and Focused Increase Trends in Time Series (M-T Diagram) of Earthquake OccurrencesSatoshi Hashimoto
16:15 - 16:30SSS09-04Revisiting a simple method for short-term earthquake probabilities derived from past SeismicityMamoru Kato
16:30 - 16:45SSS09-05Recent anomalous groundwater temperature and water level changes at the frontier land zone of Nanki region for impending great earthquakes at the Nankai troughTameshige Tsukuda
16:45 - 17:00SSS09-06What happen on the East Japan Megaquake; answer to sufferersNobuaki Niitsuma
Presentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Poster Presentation May 29 PM1
SSS09-P01A method to ditect seismic precursorsKozo Takahashi
SSS09-P02Difference of foreshock characteristics between real data and synthetic ETAS catalogs: through the application of an empirical earthquake forecast model based on foreshocksFuyuki Hirose
SSS09-P03The increase in missing waveform images of the F-net broadband seismograph network preceding the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (2)Yoshiki SUE
SSS09-P04On the b-value of the OBS seismic observation around the Suruga Bay SenoumiTaiyo Sotani
SSS09-P05Trial Result of Long-term Occurrence Probabilities with The Moderate Repeating Earthquakes Using The Lognormal Distribution Model with Bayesian ApproachMasayuki Tanaka
SSS09-P06Structural heterogeneity under the 2018 Mw6.6 Eastern Iburi earthquake in Hokkaido, Japan and its implications for rupture initiationsZHI WANG