Solid Earth Sciences (S) | ||
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Session Sub-category | Seismology (SS) | |
Session ID | S-SS09 | |
Title | Earthquake prediction and forecast | |
Short Title | Earthquake prediction and forecast | |
Main Convener | Name | Masayuki Obayashi |
Affiliation | Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology | |
Co-Convener 1 | Name | Toshitaka Baba |
Affiliation | Graduate School of Science and Technology, Tokushima University | |
Session Language | J | |
Scope | This session provides the opportunity for contributions that fall within the scientific spectrum of earthquake prediction and forecasting. We welcome theoretical, observational or numerical papers that are either on long- or short-term predictions, and either based on deterministic or probabilistic approaches. | |
Presentation Format | Oral and Poster presentation |
Time | Presentation No | Title | Presenter | Abstract |
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Oral Presentation May 29 PM2 | ||||
15:30 - 15:45 | SSS09-01 | Objective evaluationof precursory seismic quiescence and activation phenomenon in wide area | Sumio Yoshikawa | |
15:45 - 16:00 | SSS09-02 | Long-term Probability of a Great Earthquake along the Kurile Trench, Hokkaido Japan (2) | Masajiro Imoto | |
16:00 - 16:15 | SSS09-03 | Parallel and Focused Increase Trends in Time Series (M-T Diagram) of Earthquake Occurrences | Satoshi Hashimoto | |
16:15 - 16:30 | SSS09-04 | Revisiting a simple method for short-term earthquake probabilities derived from past Seismicity | Mamoru Kato | |
16:30 - 16:45 | SSS09-05 | Recent anomalous groundwater temperature and water level changes at the frontier land zone of Nanki region for impending great earthquakes at the Nankai trough | Tameshige Tsukuda | |
16:45 - 17:00 | SSS09-06 | What happen on the East Japan Megaquake; answer to sufferers | Nobuaki Niitsuma | |
Presentation No | Title | Presenter | Abstract |
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Poster Presentation May 29 PM1 | |||
SSS09-P01 | A method to ditect seismic precursors | Kozo Takahashi | |
SSS09-P02 | Difference of foreshock characteristics between real data and synthetic ETAS catalogs: through the application of an empirical earthquake forecast model based on foreshocks | Fuyuki Hirose | |
SSS09-P03 | The increase in missing waveform images of the F-net broadband seismograph network preceding the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (2) | Yoshiki SUE | |
SSS09-P04 | On the b-value of the OBS seismic observation around the Suruga Bay Senoumi | Taiyo Sotani | |
SSS09-P05 | Trial Result of Long-term Occurrence Probabilities with The Moderate Repeating Earthquakes Using The Lognormal Distribution Model with Bayesian Approach | Masayuki Tanaka | |
SSS09-P06 | Structural heterogeneity under the 2018 Mw6.6 Eastern Iburi earthquake in Hokkaido, Japan and its implications for rupture initiations | ZHI WANG |