Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A)
Session Sub-categoryComplex & General(CG)
Session IDA-CG35
TitleProjection and detection of global environmental change
Short TitleGlobal environmental change
Main Convener NameMichio Kawamiya
AffiliationJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 1NameHiroaki Tatebe
AffiliationJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Co-Convener 2NameKaoru Tachiiri
AffiliationJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
Session LanguageE
ScopeAnthropogenic forcings on global environment are expected to cause intensification of extreme events, sea level rise, ocean acidification and deoxygenation, as well as large-scale ecosystem changes. The CMIP6 experimental protocol has been established based on which modeling groups across the world are starting to provide environmental projection data toward 6th IPCC assessment report due in 2021. Various new types of studies, such as event attribution and coupling of socio-economic processes and Earth system dynamics, are also emerging in the field of global change projection. In addition, observational studies are becoming increasingly more important for grasping changes in the global environment and evaluating model projections. Interactions and collaborations beyond boundaries of conventional scientific disciplines are desired for dealing with the issue of global changes. This session thus aims to deepen our understanding on global change, from both disciplinary and interdisciplinary viewpoints. This session is co-organized by AIMES - Future Earth project "Analysis, Integration and Modelling of the Earth System" (
Presentation FormatOral and Poster presentation
Joint Session withEGU
Invited AuthorsMyles Robert Allen (Environmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment and Department of Physics, University of Oxford)
Hongmei Li (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany)
TimePresentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Oral Presentation May 29 PM1
13:45 - 14:00ACG35-01Sour and anoxic Sea of Japan in the near futureChen-Tung Arthur Chen
14:00 - 14:15ACG35-02Decadal predictions of the variable ocean carbon uptakeHongmei Li
14:15 - 14:30ACG35-03Air-sea CO2 flux variations in the tropical Pacific simulated with two ESMs embedded an ocean data assimilation systemMichio Watanabe
14:30 - 14:45ACG35-04A Study of Decadal Ocean Deoxygenation and Heat Uptake from a suite of OMIP SimulationsYohei Takano
14:45 - 15:00ACG35-05Role of large-scale environmental variability in changing storm climateNilima Aditya Natoo
15:00 - 15:15ACG35-06The forced response of the climate system: The case of climatic teleconnectionsTamas Bodai
Oral Presentation May 29 PM2
15:30 - 15:45ACG35-07Guiding Mother Earth: taking stock of progress to a long-term temperature goalMyles Robert Allen
15:45 - 16:00ACG35-08Uneven distributions of four hazard indicators of climate change with the Paris Agreement’s goalsHideo Shiogama
16:00 - 16:15ACG35-09Understanding the centennial-scale human-natural interactions using an integrated terrestrial model MIROC-INTEG under ISIMIP2 projectYusuke Satoh
16:15 - 16:30ACG35-10Radiative forcing of the physiological CO2 responseVictor Brovkin
16:30 - 16:45ACG35-11Progress of MIROC-ES2 simulations in CMIP6 and the analysis of the biogeochemical feedbacksTomohiro Hajima
16:45 - 17:00ACG35-12The impact of long-term historical warming on the global terrestrial gross primary productionIrina Melnikova
Presentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Poster Presentation May 29 AM2
ACG35-P01World Regionalization of Climate Change (1961–2010)Shao Sun
ACG35-P02Quantifying and identifying future climate signal, noise, and internal variability at finer temporal scalesJongho Kim
ACG35-P03Basic evaluation of MIROC6 and current status of CMIP6 experimentsHiroaki Tatebe
ACG35-P04Synchronized increase of extreme cold and warm events in China during the recent global warming slowdownXiubao Sun
ACG35-P05Quantification of thermodynamical and dynamical contributions to the anthropogenic influences on tropical cyclone rainfall extremesCheng-Ta Chen
ACG35-P06Temporal Evolution of the Long-Term Distributional Biases of Climate Models as a Parameter for the Regional Evaluation of the Simulation of Climate ChangeMartin Gomez-Garcia
ACG35-P07A global simulation of bioenergy crop yieldZhipin Ai
ACG35-P08Integrated Research Program for Advancing Climate Models - Theme B: national research program in Japan on earth system modelingMichio Kawamiya
ACG35-P09Towards probabilistic climate projections based on the CMIP6 multi-model ensembleJunichi Tsutsui
ACG35-P10Effect on the earth system of realizing 1.5 degree climate target by overshooting after reaching 2 degree levelKaoru Tachiiri
ACG35-P11Historical regional and sectoral contributions to climate changeXuanming Su
ACG35-P12Future projection of global climate, water, food, bio-energy, and land investigated with MIROC-INTEG: a global bio-geophysical land surface model with human componentsTokuta Yokohata
ACG35-P13Downscaling a global agricultural land use model to country level for national SSP analysisWenchao Wu
ACG35-P14Extreme Events and Emergent Trends in Marine Ecosystem Stressors under a historical/RCP8.5 Climate Change PathwayKeith Bradley Rodgers