Atmospheric and Hydrospheric Sciences (A)
Session Sub-categoryAtmospheric Sciences, Meteorology & Atmospheric Environment(AS)
Session IDA-AS02
TitleAdvances in Tropical Cyclone Research: Past, Present, and Future
Short TitleTropical Cyclone
Main Convener NameSachie Kanada
AffiliationNagoya University
Co-Convener 1NameAkiyoshi Wada
AffiliationTyphoon Research Department Meteorological Research Institute
Co-Convener 2NameKosuke Ito
AffiliationUniversity of the Ryukyus
Co-Convener 3NameYoshiaki Miyamoto
AffiliationFaculty of Environment and Information Studies, Keio University
Session LanguageE
ScopeTropical cyclones (TC) sometimes cause destructive disasters in many countries by torrential rainfall, strong wind, storm surge, and high surf. In 2008, the western Japan suffered a record-breaking heavy rainfall related to Typhoon Prapirooon (2018) in July. Furthermore, two Category 4 typhoons, typhoons Jebi (2018) and Trami (2018), made landfalls on the western Japan in September and caused devastating disasters over the Japanese Islands. In the Northern Atlantic, Hurricane Florence caused catastrophic damage in the eastern side of U.S. Recent studies reported a northward shift of the location where a TC achieved the peak intensity and also reported increases in the frequency of rapidly intensifying storms. Thus, understanding the TC processes related to translation, intensity change and precipitation in the changing climate, and to provide more accurate forecasts and long-term projections are essential for the earth and planetary science.
Advances in innovative observations such as meteorological aircraft, weather satellite, supercomputer systems such as the Earth Simulator and K-computer, and introduction of new methods such as the deep-learning, have led to novel development of numerical weather forecasting and understanding of the phenomena related to TCs in the past, present and future climates. In this session, we welcome papers on various aspects of TC studies. We hope that the session will provide a new direction for future TC researches.
Presentation FormatOral and Poster presentation
Joint Session withAGU
Invited AuthorsHiroyuki Yamada (University of the Ryukyus)
TimePresentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Oral Presentation May 30 AM1
09:00 - 09:15AAS02-01A GRAPES-based mesoscale EPS for TC forecasting: configuration and performanceXubin Zhang
09:15 - 09:30AAS02-02Evaluation of operational Ensemble based Global Forecast System prediction for Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian Ocean Medha Deshpande
09:30 - 09:45AAS02-03Structural Changes Preceding Rapid Intensification in Tropical Cyclones as shown in a Large Ensemble of Idealized SimulationsYoshiaki Miyamoto
09:45 - 10:00AAS02-04Potential impacts of tropical cyclone inner-core convective activity on the predictability of rapid intensificationMasashi Minamide
10:00 - 10:15AAS02-05A link between high-speed solar wind streams and rapid intensification of tropical cyclonesPaul Prikryl
10:15 - 10:30AAS02-06Influence of Tropical Lower Stratospheric Cooling on Extreme Deep Convective Activity and Tropical CyclonesKunihiko Kodera
Oral Presentation May 30 AM2
10:45 - 11:15AAS02-07A change in the inner-core structure of Typhoon Trami (2018) as observed through upper-tropospheric aircraft reconnaissance of T-PARCIIHiroyuki Yamada
11:15 - 11:30AAS02-08Dramatic changes in the inner-core structure of Typhoon Jebi (2018) at landfall and relationship between a mesovortex and strong wind gustsUdai Shimada
11:30 - 11:45AAS02-09Revisiting Asymmetric CAPE in Sheared Tropical CyclonesQingqing Li
11:45 - 12:00AAS02-10Observed rainfall asymmetry of tropical cyclone in the process of making landfall in Guangdong, South ChinaGuanhuan Wen
12:00 - 12:15AAS02-11Volumetric Detection of Tornadic Vortices Associated with Typhoon Nanmadol (2017) Using PAWR and Deep LearningToru Adachi
Oral Presentation May 30 PM2
15:30 - 15:45AAS02-12Evaluation of the monthly Potential of the 2018 typhoon activity and the effect of the positive PMM and SST of the eastern northwestern PacificTakahiro Ishiyama
15:45 - 16:00AAS02-13Contributions of different time scale variations to tropical cyclogenesis over the western North PacificXi Cao
16:00 - 16:15AAS02-14Binary interaction between TC Chanthu (2016) and a nearby cold lowKosuke Ito
16:15 - 16:30AAS02-15Response of landfalling North Indian Ocean cyclonic disturbances to warming climate and associated environmental parametersJAGABANDHU PANDA
16:30 - 16:45AAS02-16Rainfall contribution of North Indian Ocean cyclonic disturbances over India in a warming climateKASTURI SINGH
16:45 - 17:00AAS02-17Analysis of typhoon tracks and associated precipitation amount over western Japan: A case study with Typhoon Nancy and Typhoon JebiSridhara Nayak
Presentation NoTitlePresenterAbstract
Poster Presentation May 30 PM1
AAS02-P01Numerical study on lightning frequency in a tropical cycloneYousuke Sato
AAS02-P02Sensitivity of Numerical Simulation of Typhoon Nepartak (2016) to Cloud Condensation Nuclei ConcentrationYu-De Wu
AAS02-P03Moisture Budget Analysis for Hurricane Precipitation on TexasSatoshi Iizuka
AAS02-P04Remote response of a developing tropical cyclone over the western North Pacific to large-scale vapor transport from the Kuroshio in boreal fallKeita Fujiwara
AAS02-P05Asymmetrically Intensifying Processes of a Category 4 Super Typhoon Lan (2017) during High Vertical Wind ShearSachie Kanada
AAS02-P06Roles of preexisting oceanic condition and ocean coupling processes in the intensity prediction during the mature phase of Typhoon Trami (2018)Akiyoshi Wada
AAS02-P07Development and assessment of the probabilistic storm surge forecast system in Taiwan: Case Study of Typhoon Maria in 2018Chun-Wei Lin
AAS02-P08Basic Data Construction for a Typhoon Disaster Prevention Model : Analysis and Changes by El Nino and La Nina yearHANA NA
AAS02-P09Basic Data Construction for a Typhoon Disaster Prevention Model : Analysis According to the Typhoon Path TypeHANA NA
AAS02-P10Basic Data Construction for a Typhoon Disaster Prevention Model : Monthly Characteristics of Typhoon Rusa, Maemi, Kompasu, and BolavenHANA NA
AAS02-P11The mechanism of typhoon generated in the earth that rotates in the space where the solar wind blowsShinji Karasawa