Session outline
Solid Earth Sciences(S)
Session Sub Category Seismology(SS)
Session ID S-SS02
Title Earthquake predictability research after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
Short title Earthquake predictability
Convener Name Naoshi Hirata
Affiliation Earthquake Research Institute, the University of Tokyo
Co-convener 1. Name Hiroshi Tsuruoka
Affiliation Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo Univ.
Co-convener 2. Name Danijel Schorlemmer
Affiliation GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
International Symposium 'International Symposium' in addition to Scientific session.
Language English
Scope Modern earthquake science requires rigorous experimentation. Earthquake predictability studies (e.g. Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models so far. Japan, California, New Zealand and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such tests, and the findings may yield a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about forecast models, their components, and their performance, in particular statistical models. Especially, we would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand.
Type of presentation Oral and Poster presentation
Invited papers OGATA, Yosihiko (The University of Tokyo)
Danijel Schorlemmer (GFZ)