固体地球科学(S)
セッション小記号地震学
セッションIDS-SS09
タイトル和文Rethinking PSHA
英文Rethinking PSHA
タイトル短縮名和文Rethinking PSHA
英文Rethinking PSHA
代表コンビーナ氏名和文Matt Gerstenberger
英文Matt Gerstenberger
所属和文GNS Science
英文GNS Science
共同コンビーナ 1氏名和文はお 憲生
英文Ken Xiansheng Hao
所属和文防災科学技術研究所 防災システムセンター
英文National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster(NIED)
共同コンビーナ 2氏名和文Kuo-Fong Ma
英文Kuo-Fong Ma
所属和文Institute of Geophysics, National Central University, Taiwan, ROC
英文Institute of Geophysics, National Central University, Taiwan, ROC
共同コンビーナ 3氏名和文Danijel Schorlemmer
英文Danijel Schorlemmer
所属和文GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
英文GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
発表言語EE
スコープ和文
英文The research teams of the national seismic hazard models (NSHM) of Japan, New Zealand, and Taiwan, joined by the Global Earthquake Model foundation, have been collaborating in recent years to further the developments of the NSHMs in each region. One recent outcome from this collaboration has been to identify some of the most important research topics necessary for advancing PSHA and NSHMs in each of the regions. In discussing these research priorities, five dominant themes emerged from: 1) subduction zone hazard is poorly understood but is likely the largest uncertainty and hazard for each region and thus requires significant research; 2) a focus on quantifying and including epistemic uncertainty is necessary, including uncertainty in fault and earthquake catalogue source models (and uncertainty due to data quality issues), as well as those in ground motion prediction; 3) ground motion simulations are becoming increasingly relevant for the NSHMs and require NSHM specific focus; 4) understanding how to include earthquake clustering and triggering will improve hazard forecasts; and 5) a focus on testing of hazard and model components will lead to improved NSHMs. In this session, we invite contributions about research topics particularly related to these themes or to seismic hazard analysis in general.
発表方法口頭および（または）ポスターセッション
招待講演