セッション概要

固体地球科学(S) セッション小記号 地震学(SS) セッションID S-SS01 タイトル 和文 Earthquake predictability research after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (2) 英文 Earthquake predictability research after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (2) タイトル短縮名 和文 Earthquake predictability 英文 Earthquake predictability 代表コンビーナ 氏名 和文 鶴岡 弘 英文 Hiroshi Tsuruoka 所属 和文 東京大学地震研究所 英文 Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo Univ. メールアドレス tsuru@eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp 共同コンビーナ 1 氏名 和文 Schorlemmer Danijel 英文 Danijel Schorlemmer 所属 和文 GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences 英文 GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences メールアドレス ds@gfz-potsdam.de 共同コンビーナ 2 氏名 和文 平田 直 英文 Naoshi Hirata 所属 和文 東京大学地震研究所 英文 Earthquake Research Institute, the University of Tokyo メールアドレス hirata@eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp 国際セッション開催希望 国際セッションとしての開催を希望する 発表主要言語 英語 スコープ 和文 Modern earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models. Japan, California, New Zealand, and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such testing experiments under the auspices of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). These experiments are yielding a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about a wide variety of forecast models including statistical and/or physics-based models, their components, performance, and methods of testing. We would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand. In addition, evaluation methods of earthquake forecasting are discussed. 英文 Modern earthquake predictability studies emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models. Japan, California, New Zealand, and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such testing experiments under the auspices of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). These experiments are yielding a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about a wide variety of forecast models including statistical and/or physics-based models, their components, performance, and methods of testing. We would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand. In addition, evaluation methods of earthquake forecasting are discussed. 発表方法希望 口頭および（または）ポスターセッション 招待講演 Danijel Schorlemmer (GFZ) 尾形良彦（東大生産研）