セッション概要
 
固体地球科学(S)
セッション小記号 地震学(SS)
セッションID S-SS02
タイトル 和文 Earthquake predictability research after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
英文 Earthquake predictability research after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
タイトル短縮名 和文 Earthquake predictability
英文 Earthquake predictability
代表コンビーナ 氏名 和文 平田 直
英文 Naoshi Hirata
所属 和文 東京大学地震研究所
英文 Earthquake Research Institute, the University of Tokyo
共同コンビーナ 1 氏名 和文 鶴岡 弘
英文 Hiroshi Tsuruoka
所属 和文 東京大学地震研究所
英文 Earthquake Research Institute, Tokyo Univ.
共同コンビーナ 2 氏名 和文 Schorlemmer Danijel
英文 Danijel Schorlemmer
所属 和文 GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
英文 GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences
国際セッション開催希望 国際セッションとしての開催を希望する
発表主要言語 英語
スコープ 和文 Modern earthquake science requires rigorous experimentation. Earthquake predictability studies (e.g. Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models so far. Japan, California, New Zealand and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such tests, and the findings may yield a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about forecast models, their components, and their performance, in particular statistical models. Especially, we would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand.
英文 Modern earthquake science requires rigorous experimentation. Earthquake predictability studies (e.g. Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) emphasize the importance of testing earthquake forecast models so far. Japan, California, New Zealand and other regions are currently operating or developing regional centers for such tests, and the findings may yield a better understanding not only of the models' basic features but also of particular physical aspects of earthquake occurrence. We solicit presentations about forecast models, their components, and their performance, in particular statistical models. Especially, we would like to discuss problems in forecasting large earthquakes such as recent devastating events in Japan and New Zealand.
発表方法希望 口頭および(または)ポスターセッション
招待講演 尾形良彦(東京大学)
Danijel Schorlemmer (GFZ)